The text was originally published in Russia Beyond the Headlines
President Barack Obama has announced reforms at the National Security Agency. He unveiled several changes, which he believes will redress the balance between civil liberties and the need to protect the country from external threats.
Such a statement has been awaited for a long time. The lack of a credible official response to Edward Snowden’s disclosures was doing a great deal of damage to the United States and its economy.
"This was a blow to America's global leadership," said Andrey Sushentsov, a political analyst and lecturer at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, or M.G.I.M.O.
“It had become clear that the country was trying to portray the pursuit of its own pragmatic interests as caring for the common good. In the struggle between the globalists and proponents of greater national sovereignty in third countries, the latter received another argument to back their case, especially as far as PR is concerned. Meanwhile, the economic fallout includes slowing demand for American IT exports, as people are worried about their personal data falling into the N.S.A.'s hands. American corporations, including Microsoft, Facebook and others, have lost millions as a result, and their reputation has been tarnished."
But the only people who have praised Obama’s 45-minute speech are the ones who had opposed any reforms at the N.S.A. in the first place, including Rep. Peter King. Rights activists have been scathingly critical of the presidential initiatives, which they say are either impractical or superficial, and fail to address the root of the problem, which is the N.S.A.'s unrestricted power to snoop.
“Many people say that all these scandals, including the Snowden affair and other scandalous revelations, have been caused by lack of effective civilian oversight over the N.S.A.,” explained Valeriy Garbuzov, the deputy head of the Institute for U.S. and Canadian Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences.
"That is why the reforms initiated by President Obama include replacing the military officer in charge of the N.S.A. with a civilian director. The president also intends to reform the secret court that authorizes various N.S.A. intelligence operations.”
But these measures simply do not go far enough. The proposals concerning the secret court are very likely to be rejected by the Congress. According to Andrey Sushentsov, congressmen are already worrying that such measures would undermine the N.S.A.'s capability.
As for appointing a civilian director of the agency, similar measures undertaken in the past have failed to make the intelligence community any more transparent.
“Obama gets close to understanding the concerns, but he backs away from the real reform," said Anthony Romero, the executive director of the American Civil Liberties Union. “He gets to the finish line, but he doesn’t cross it.”
Obama’s reform proposals have also been described as “window-dressing.” According to Valeriy Garbuzov, the only two serious proposals in the president’s statement were to end wholesale data scanning and retention.
As an example of real reforms, some analysts cite the laws passed by Obama's predecessor.
"What I see here is empty declarations; there aren't any institutional changes, such as the ones initiated by [former President] George W. Bush administration in 2004 to 2005," said Aleksey Fenenko, a senior researcher at the Institute for International Security Studies in Moscow.
“Those changes were very real; they sharply increased the secret service's powers of surveillance over private citizens and especially the media. The C.I.A. was allowed to monitor the IP addresses of officials more closely, etc. That new system, whether we like it or not, was more effective than the one that existed previously."
The cosmetic nature of Obama’s reforms is not really down to his desire to stay on good terms with the intelligence community. Neither is he especially keen to keep all Americans under close surveillance. This is more likely a matter of simply accepting the reality.
“There are several paths the reforms could take," said Oleg Demidov, a researcher with the policy think tank PIR Center.
“The first is changes in the laws, including new administrative restrictions. The second is regulatory and organizational changes, such as disbanding the departments that snoop on foreign leaders, and reducing the number of spies in other countries. The third path is radically curtailing or even dismantling the technical systems used for such intelligence gathering. Only the third path offers a real chance of any fundamental changes. But Obama is very unlikely to take it, if only because the same technologies (such as phone tapping) are used for totally legitimate purposes as well as for the kind of surveillance that has caused outrage, such as spying on foreign leaders and America’s own citizens.”
The beginning of Ukranian peace talks is an important step for all sides. Kremlin's stand should also be taken into account given how strongly Russia and Ukraine are connected.
In its foreign policy, Moscow is increasingly demonstrating a greater willingness to develop the bilateral format of relations with all partners, rather than participating in multilateral political processes. This focus on bilateral ties has been demonstrated by the recent meeting between the top two Russian and American diplomats – Sergey Lavrov and John Kerry – in Zurich, as well as the visit to Moscow of the Emir of Qatar, Tamim al-Thani.
A more realistic view is that there were some agreements between the opposition and the West, for example, not to cross certain red lines. Moscow’s position was clear from the very beginning. Russia strictly relied on the principles of international law, reminding everyone that in democratic countries people’s attitude toward authority should be expressed not with Molotov cocktails but through the ballot box.
But while the debate on what candidate’s policies and worldview may be more preferable for Russia continues, the overwhelming majority of the Russian political elite and expert community agree upon two things. First, the relationship in the White House is not one hundred percent defined by the person in the Oval Office. Second, since the current crisis between the two states has more profound roots and a long record of mutual grievances the relationship is unlikely to improve--while there’s plenty of potential for its deterioration.
The Foreign Policy Analysis Group is a strategic intelligence and research organization based in Moscow, Russia. We analize and advise on foreign policy and international affairs since 2014 with an aim to produce the most accurate analysis of current affairs in international relations from non-Western perspective.
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